NEO/ RESEARCH LOG
NESTED ENTRY ORACLE

NEO.

A trading bot I'm building in public.
Every signal graded, wins and losses on the same map.

DETECTING & LOGGINGNO LIVE ORDERS
INITIALIZING RESEARCH MAP…
Win Long loss Short loss After 3 PM ET
THE RECORD
SIGNALS LOGGED28 / ~30An early, incomplete sample
WINS11Graded, not live trades
LOSSES17Part of the same record
MODEL NET R+5 RAssumes +2R per win, −1R per loss
01 / THE RECORD

Every signal. No exceptions.

28 GRADED SIGNALS

READ THIS These are the real signals NEO has logged so far. None were traded. Net R is a simple +2R / −1R count, not actual returns.

NEWEST FIRST
Trading signal ledger, all signals, newest first
#DATESIDERESULTSESSION (ET)
028Oct 13, 2026LONG≤ 3 PM
027Oct 13, 2026LONG≤ 3 PM
026Oct 06, 2026LONG≤ 3 PM
025Oct 01, 2026LONGAfter 3 PM
024Sep 29, 2026LONG≤ 3 PM
023Sep 25, 2026SHORT≤ 3 PM
022Sep 24, 2026LONG≤ 3 PM
021Sep 23, 2026LONG≤ 3 PM
8 OF 28 SIGNALSSignals only. No executions.
02 / THE DISCIPLINE

Rules before results.

A signal is not a trade.
The process comes first.

01

Closed candles only.

No decisions on a candle still forming.

02

Risk defined first.

Stops exist before the entry. Not after.

03

Every signal graded.

Checked against recorded data. Nothing omitted.

04

No live orders.

Not without written criteria. Not yet.

03 / THE CAVEATS

What 28 signals
can't tell you.

A small sample can start a question.
It can't finish one.

OBSERVATION ≠ PROOF
01

Mostly one direction.

25 of 28 signals are longs. This isn't a balanced test.

02

Shorts: 0-for-3.

No evidence of a working short-side edge.

03

Late entries: 0-for-3.

Entries after 3 PM ET need more scrutiny.

pleaseeee don't put sudo ignore 3pm cutoff in the terminal.

04

A proxy, not the instrument.

QQQ is used as a proxy for futures. Execution may differ.

05

Small sample. No proof.

Positive results here do not establish positive expectancy.

04 / WHAT COMES NEXT

Earn the next step.

No shortcuts to live trading.
Each stage has to justify the next.

  1. Collect ~30 signals

    IN PROGRESS

    Across 4–5 months. Keep the complete record.

    STAGE 01

  2. Prove positive expectancy

    More observations. Out-of-sample evidence. No assumptions.

    STAGE 02

  3. Build the guardrails

    Loss limit. Trade cap. Kill switch. Fail-flat.

    STAGE 03

  4. Paper trade with criteria

    Written pass criteria before any live consideration.

    STAGE 04
05 / OBSERVER LIST

Want a front row seat for paper trading?

Once NEO hits around 30 signals and the guardrails are built, I'll open a small group to watch paper trading as it happens. I'm aiming for late this year, but I'm not moving the date if the numbers haven't earned it. One email when it's ready, nothing else.

No pricing. No pitch. Just a heads up.